By Hanim Adnan (31 Dec 2011, StarBiz)
Analysts and industry players, however, are generally bullish on commodities despite global uncertainties
For CPO, its price should remain within a comfortable zone if the strong 2012 price projections by LMC International Ltd chairman Dr James Fry (at RM2,900 per tonne) and Godrej Industries Ltd director Dorab Mistry (RM3,300-RM4,000) materialise.Expecting support via continued demand from India and China, as well as the biofuel usage in Europe, market analysts have projected an average CPO price of RM3,500 per tonne in 2012. The 2011 average was RM3,280.
Market players are expecting next year's opening palm oil stocks to be lower at below two million tonnes from 2.2 million, while production is targeted at 19.5 million tonnes from 18.8 million.The export earnings from palm products in 2012 are also expected to hit a record of over RM80bil, given the growing optimism that palm oil will be replacing other major oilseeds like rapeseed and sunflower, which are currently being used for biofuels in the Western countries.
Malaysian Palm Oil Association chief executive officer Datuk Mamat Salleh says issues such as foreign labour, tax and subsidy, Indonesia's CPO export tax regime, palm oil sustainability, and sustainability certification scheme as well as greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions will be major considerations for the local players.